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    Alexander Gabuev

    • Wednesday, 7 May, 2025
      Geopolitics
      Xi and Putin are the greatest beneficiaries of Trump’s chaos

      Russia and China are unlikely to remain bystanders as America sorts out its own mess

    • Saturday, 22 February, 2025
      Geopolitics
      There are no shortcuts to manage the Russia challenge

      Despite Trump’s diplomatic cavalry charge, the Kremlin will continue to view the west as an enemy

      Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump. The Kremlin hopes that the US president will do a dirty deal over Ukraine that will set it on a path of implosion
    • Sunday, 10 November, 2024
      US foreign policy
      Mistrust between Russia and the west will outlast the Trump era

      The fight against the US and its allies has become the organising principle of Putin’s long reign

      Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin
    • Thursday, 5 September, 2024
      War in Ukraine
      Putin thinks he can still win a war of attrition in Ukraine

      Fighting will drag on while the prospects for diplomacy remain slim

      Russian soldier fires from D-30 howitzer towards Ukrainian positions in an undisclosed location in Ukraine.
    • Sunday, 7 July, 2024
      Russian politics
      Russia is trying to put a price tag on Nato’s involvement in Ukraine

      Vladimir Putin is seeking reckless new ways to impose costs on the US and its allies

      A Himar launching a Rocket against a moody sky
    • Sunday, 18 February, 2024
      Nato
      Nato has no choice but to strengthen its bulwarks against Putin

      An ageing Russian ruler surrounded by sycophants may embark on even more reckless moves in coming years

      Vladimir Putin visits a military plant of Uralvagonzavod research and production corporation in the Urals city of Nizhny Tagil, Russia, this month
    • Tuesday, 3 October, 2023
      Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
      Nagorno-Karabakh shows that Russia has lost control of its near-abroad

      Moscow’s ability to play the role of regional power broker has been hobbled by the invasion of Ukraine

    • Thursday, 24 August, 2023
      Vladimir Putin
      After Prigozhin, Putin reigns supreme

      Hopes that the Wagner boss might have punctured the Russian president’s omnipotence have turned to dust

      A montage of Yevgeny Prigozhin in combat uniform and Vladimir Putin in a suit
    • Sunday, 30 July, 2023
      War in Ukraine
      Putin is looking for a bigger war, not an off-ramp, in Ukraine

      New mobilisation law is part of a wider effort to maximise Russia’s firepower and blunt western support for Kyiv

      Maria Hergueta illustration of Vladimir Putin arranging toy soldiers on a tank
    • Monday, 10 October, 2022
      War in Ukraine
      The risks of escalation in the Ukraine war are rising fast

      No comprehensive settlement is possible for the moment, but the US must start laying the groundwork for crisis diplomacy

      A firefighter helps a woman injured in Russia’s strikes on Kyiv. With Ukraine increasingly victorious on the conventional battlefield, the Kremlin’s response is becoming ever more erratic
    • Friday, 23 September, 2022
      War in Ukraine
      Putin has once again overplayed his hand in Ukraine

      The Russian leader’s reckless moves have one goal: to turn the tables in a war he is losing

    • Thursday, 18 November, 2021
      Russian politics
      Russia’s energy deals with China may backfire on the Kremlin

      Moscow has much leverage over Europe as a gas supplier, but an over-reliance on Beijing carries long-term strategic risks

      An engineer inspects a Russia-China gas pipeline in Hebei. If one day, for example, Beijing wants Russia to stop arming India and Vietnam, how will Moscow refuse if the Chinese market is its major source of revenues?
    • Sunday, 21 June, 2020
      Huawei Technologies
      Huawei’s courtship of Moscow leaves west in the cold

      US and EU sanctions against the Chinese telecoms group have bolstered Sino-Russian co-operation

      Huawei has cunningly exploited US sanctions against Sberbank, whose chief executive,?Herman Gref, is a longtime confidant of Russia's president
    • Sunday, 3 February, 2019
      Venezuela
      Russia’s support for Venezuela has deep roots

      Rosneft is so heavily invested in the Maduro regime that the only option is to double down

      Nicolas Maduro, president of Venezuela, right, brandishes a sword given to him as a gift by Igor Sechin, chief executive of Rosneft
    • Sunday, 23 July, 2017
      Chinese politics & policy
      Donald Trump is the odd man out with Putin and Xi

      China and Russia co-operate in areas posing a challenge to western interests

      epa06063877 Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) welcomes China's President Xi Jinping (R) during their informal meeting in the Kremlin, Moscow, Russia, 03 July 2017. Chinese President Xi arrived in Moscow for a two-days official visit. EPA/SERGEI CHIRIKOV / POOL
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