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        Stephen Roach

        • Thursday, 17 April, 2025
          Trump tariffs
          The Chinese Dream is to Xi what Maga is to Trump

          Tariff conflict arises out of the collision course between two very different political mindsets

          Xi Jinping in 2012
        • Friday, 13 December, 2024
          Markets InsightUS-China trade dispute
          China’s Trump cards in the coming trade war escalation

          US policymakers should think more about retaliatory responses to probable tariff increases

          A montage of a person in a cleanroom suit holding a semiconductor wafer with the Chinese national flag in the background along with an inset showing a bustling shipping port
        • Monday, 30 September, 2024
          Markets InsightChinese economy
          Why China needs a ‘Three Arrows’ strategy

          Beijing should err on the side of acceptance rather than denial and make major efforts to avoid the mistakes of Japan

          China’s President Xi Jinping walks to the podium during a reception on the eve of National Day at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.
        • Monday, 12 February, 2024
          Markets InsightHong Kong
          It pains me to say Hong Kong is over

          The stock market is likely to remain in the mire until we see convincing economic measures from Beijing

          The city’s skyline at dusk in Hong Kong
        • Monday, 21 August, 2023
          Markets InsightGlobal Economy
          China’s ‘whack-a-mole’ economic playbook leads to confusion

          Policymakers are flailing in tackling the problems of its weak blended economy

          Pedestrians pass stores in Guangzhou, China
        • Tuesday, 18 July, 2023
          US-China relations
          The old approach to US-China relations no longer works

          A new architecture of engagement, based on a Sino-American secretariat, is urgently needed

          Xi Jinping meets Joe Biden on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali last year
        • Thursday, 4 August, 2022
          US-China relations
          Two insecure superpowers stumble towards collision over Taiwan

          Just as Russia has cited Nato enlargement to justify its Ukraine invasion, China may see US support for Taipei as a tipping point

          Nancy Pelosi and Tsai Ing-wen wear face masks and stand side by side waving
        • Wednesday, 13 October, 2021
          Central banks
          The sequencing trap that risks stagflation 2.0

          Today’s generation of central bankers is afflicted with the same sense of denial that proved problematic in the 1970s

          Twilight picture of the Federal Reserve building in Washington DC. Central bank such as the Fed haven’t a clue about the links between their asset holdings and the forces of supply and demand that are currently wreaking havoc on inflation
        • Sunday, 6 December, 2020
          US-China trade dispute
          Three priorities for the US to de-escalate the China conflict

          Small steps will be needed to rebuild trust but there are gains to be made on trade and dialogue

          The US and China need improved access to each other’s markets in order to promote long-term growth
        • Monday, 5 October, 2020
          Global Economy
          The end of the dollar’s exorbitant privilege

          A crash is likely given the collapse in US domestic saving and a gaping current account deficit

        • Wednesday, 6 May, 2020
          Global Economy
          A return to 1970s stagflation is only a broken supply chain away

          The death of inflation has been exaggerated and after the pandemic we may need it

          Cars queuing at a petrol station on Woodford Avenue, London, during a petrol shortage, December 1973. (Photo by Evening Standard/Hulton Archive/Getty Images)
        • Tuesday, 7 March, 2017
          US trade
          Donald Trump is suffering from trade deficit disorder

          The temptation to punish China with tariffs is an example of a misguided approach

          Shipping containers sit stacked in a commercial yard at the Port of Everglades in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, U.S., on Friday, Jan. 29, 2016. The U.S. Census Bureau is scheduled to release international trade balance figures on February 5. Photographer: Ty Wright/Bloomberg
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